I’ve been shooting with Canon for over a decade—moved from the 5D series to the R5 a while back—and I’m trying to map out my gear upgrades for the long haul. Specifically looking at Cyber Monday 2026 (yeah, I like to plan way ahead). I've been digging through some old price trackers on sites like CamelCamelCamel and some forum archives from 2023/2024, but the data is kinda spotty because the supply chain was so weird back then and didn't follow the usual 'age-off' patterns.
I'm mainly focused on wildlife and some high-end travel stuff. I really need something with reach that isn't going to break my back—or my bank account entirely.
My current constraints:
I noticed the 100-500mm is starting to see deeper refurb discounts lately, but I’m wondering if by late 2026 we’ll see it hit a 'permanent' lower price point or if the 200-800mm will finally see its first real deep cut. Usually, the L-series glass holds value way too well, which is frustrating. Do you guys think the 'older' RF glass like the 50mm 1.2 will be the ones getting the 30% off treatment, or will Canon keep pushing the entry-level f/4 zooms for the holiday sales? I'm rocking an R5 ii now and really want to see what glass is gonna be the best value for that sensor...
I'm no expert but I just looked into this last week while researching for my own R5 II setup. If you need weather sealing for damp environments but want to stay under $2,200, the f/4 L-series zooms are likely your best bet for 2026 discounts.
So funny you ask this — last summer I tracked price trends for a project in the Pacific Northwest that required heavy weather sealing. I monitored the Canon RF 100-500mm f/4.5-7.1 L IS USM for months. While retail prices remained stiff, refurbished units hit $2,099 during seasonal sales. By Cyber Monday 2026, this lens will be over six years old. It is the prime candidate for a $500 discount to clear inventory for a potential Mark II version. The Canon RF 200-800mm f/6.3-9 IS USM likely will not see the same aggressive cuts. It is a non-L lens and lacks the robust weather sealing needed for damp forest environments. Even in 2026, expect it to stay near the $1,799 mark because demand for that reach is consistently high. L-series glass like the Canon RF 50mm f/1.2 L USM rarely gets a 30% retail cut. Canon usually reserves those deep discounts for f/4 zooms such as the Canon RF 70-200mm f/4 L IS USM. For an R5 II sensor, the 100-500mm provides the necessary resolving power and sealing. Your best bet is targeting the 100-500mm as it will likely settle at a $2,199 retail price point during the 2026 holidays.